Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
