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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Wright (14')
Fernando (26'), Fredy (35'), Vural (61'), Bayrakdar (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Batshuayi (55', 62' pen.)
Aziz (6'), Alioski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Antalyaspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Hatayspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 0-3 Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor have not resumed their campaign after the World Cup in the best fashion after losing successive matches, and the visit of Fenerbahce is not the ideal game for the hosts to change their fortunes. The Yellow Canaries are embroiled in a three-way title race so need to string successive wins together, and they should be able to comfortably collect all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
23.5% (0.199 0.2) 23.19% (0.555 0.56) 53.31% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-2.268 -2.27)44.39% (2.265 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-2.235 -2.24)66.76% (2.232 2.23)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-1.073 -1.07)32.83% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-1.211 -1.21)69.39% (1.208 1.21)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-1.072 -1.07)16.61% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-1.958 -1.96)46.43% (1.955 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 23.5%
    Fenerbahce 53.31%
    Draw 23.18%
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.413 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.5%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.518 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.31%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor
11.1%
Draw
17.5%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
63
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Antalyaspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Sinik (81')
Sari (71'), Fredy (71'), Kudryashov (90+7')
Sosa (72')
Kadioglu (30')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Antalyaspor
Zajc (89'), Valencia (90+2')
Sangare (62')

Naldo (90+3'), Boffin (90+6')
Mar 4, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-1
Antalyaspor
Valencia (83')
Szalai (7'), Cisse (88'), Kadioglu (89'), Pelkas (90+2'), Sosa (90+7')
Fredy (12')
Fredy (21'), Amilton (33'), Sari (38'), Naldo (61'), Orgill (88')
Boffin (90+9')
Nov 2, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Podolski (52')
Sari (37'), Orgill (50')
Jahovic (43')
Tufan (49'), Perotti (84' pen.)
Valencia (60'), Gumus (90+7')
Gumus (90+7')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
2-2
Fenerbahce
Amilton (52'), Ozmert (57')
Podolski (63'), Jahovic (90'), Fredy (90'), Ozmert (90'), Celustka (90')
Ozmert (90')
Muriqi (35'), Zajc (90')
Gustavo (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray76102381519
2Samsunspor7502116515
3Fenerbahce6411145913
4BesiktasBesiktas5410114713
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul6411138513
6EyupsporEyupspor7331128412
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK623111749
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor723279-29
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor61506518
10KonyasporKonyaspor7223810-28
11SivassporSivasspor722368-28
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor6222912-38
13KasimpasaKasimpasa7142911-27
14Bodrumspor620459-46
15GaziantepGaziantep6114610-44
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor7115315-124
17KayserisporKayserispor503259-43
18Hatayspor6024410-62
19Adana Demirspor6015514-91


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