We said: Besiktas 2-1 Alanyaspor
Besiktas are certainly not at their best at present, and they meet an Alanyaspor side with renewed confidence on the back of a crucial return to winning ways last time out.
Nonetheless, the Black Eagles still have the quality in their squad to get over the line on home turf, and with their position at the top end of the table quickly getting less favourable, we back them to scrape through in Istanbul.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.