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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2024 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Kasimpasa
2 - 1
Alanyaspor

Gul (36'), Fall (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Porozo (28' og.)
Richard (53'), Fer (90+4'), Bayir (90+4'), Balkovec (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Kasimpasa
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-1 Pendikspor
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Alanyaspor

Despite their recent inconsistency, Kasimpasa boasts a historically dominant record in this fixture. We believe their quality will shine through, earning them a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
50.23% (-0.312 -0.31) 23.59% (0.122 0.12) 26.18% (0.196 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.381 -0.38)43.68% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.375 -0.38)66.07% (0.381 0.38)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (-0.258 -0.26)17.48% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.03% (-0.456 -0.46)47.97% (0.462 0.46)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)30.25% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58% (-0.061 -0.06)66.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 50.23%
    Alanyaspor 26.18%
    Draw 23.58%
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 50.23%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 6.59% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor

Kasimpasa
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Alanyaspor
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Alanyaspor
3-3
Kasimpasa
Cordova (18'), Novais (24', 51')
Fall (45+2'), Kara (79'), Ben Ouannes (87')
May 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 36
Alanyaspor
1-3
Kasimpasa
Aydin (49')
Doumbia (47')
Djilobodji (60'), Koita (65'), Fall (78')
Eysseric (42')
Jan 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Kasimpasa
4-1
Alanyaspor
Ben Ouannes (11'), Fall (32', 83'), Eysseric (67')
Mahgoub (90+1')
Feb 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Kasimpasa
2-2
Alanyaspor
Fall (65'), Muleka (68')
Serbest (21'), Haspolat (45'), Hadergjonaj (90+4')
Eduardo (42'), Bekiroglu (74')
Bekiroglu (45')
Sep 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 6
Alanyaspor
2-0
Kasimpasa
Karaca (54'), Davidson (83')
Aksoy (42')

Travnik (32'), Sadiku (59'), Erdogan (73'), Bruma (86')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Samsunspor1181222101225
3Fenerbahce107212391423
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor113261222-1011
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152


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