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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Alanyaspor

Kasimpasa
4 - 1
Alanyaspor

Ben Ouannes (11'), Fall (32', 83'), Eysseric (67')
Ben Ouannes (25'), Bahoken (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mahgoub (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 2-1 Kasimpasa
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-1 Kayserispor
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-3 Alanyaspor

 Neither of these teams have been defensively strong this season, and because of that, there will likely be plenty of goals for fans to enjoy in this one. However, considering the form of each club right now it should be Alanyaspor that earns three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
52.91% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 22.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 24.77% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
Both teams to score 60.48% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)39.16% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)61.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.89% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)43.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.019999999999996 0.02)28.94% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.025999999999996 0.03)64.82% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 52.91%
    Alanyaspor 24.77%
    Draw 22.32%
KasimpasaDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 52.91%
1-1 @ 10.17%
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor

Kasimpasa
40.0%
Draw
16.0%
Alanyaspor
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 4pm
Kasimpasa
2-2
Alanyaspor
Fall (65'), Muleka (68')
Serbest (21'), Haspolat (45'), Hadergjonaj (90+4')
Eduardo (42'), Bekiroglu (74')
Bekiroglu (45')
Sep 23, 2021 6pm
Alanyaspor
2-0
Kasimpasa
Karaca (54'), Davidson (83')
Aksoy (42')

Travnik (32'), Sadiku (59'), Erdogan (73'), Bruma (86')
May 3, 2021 2pm
Kasimpasa
3-0
Alanyaspor
Hajradinovic (36', 60'), Kiese Thelin (45+2')

Siopis (50')
Jan 11, 2021 4pm
Alanyaspor
1-2
Kasimpasa
Bakasetas (40' pen.)
Siopis (45')
Hodzic (22'), Erdogan (33')
Kose (86')
Haddadi (25')
Jan 25, 2020 2pm
Kasimpasa
1-2
Alanyaspor
Quaresma (66' pen.)
Serbest (54'), Haddadi (77'), Kara (90')
Hajradinovic (92')
Cisse (34'), Ucan (73')
Baiano (45')
rhs 2.0
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