Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 1-0 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.