Chornomorets

1 - 4

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.