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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
May 1, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Chornomorets
Shakhtar Donetsk

Chornomorets
1 - 4
Shakhtar

Badibanga (10')
Vasyliev (31'), Sporn (58')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Gomes (3', 20', 45'), Shved (66')
Bondar (68'), Matviyenko (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minai 2-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, April 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Cherkasy 0-3 Shakhtar
Saturday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
9.08% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04) 16.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 74.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.42% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.68% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)50.31% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.12% (-0.045 -0.04)84.87% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.12% (0.066999999999993 0.07)31.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 9.08%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 74.64%
    Draw 16.26%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 3.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.08%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 16.26%
0-2 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 6.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-6 @ 1.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 74.64%

How you voted: Chornomorets vs Shakhtar

Chornomorets Odesa
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Chornomorets
2-2
Shakhtar
Putria (8' pen.), Salyuk (41')
Sep 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shakhtar
2-1
Chornomorets
Shved (74'), Ocheretko (90+6')
Bragaru (9')
Mar 6, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Chornomorets
0-3
Shakhtar

Biloshevskyi (13')
Sudakov (34'), Patrick (45+5'), Solomon (90+3')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Chornomorets
0-1
Shakhtar

Ryzhuk (42'), Litovchenko (53'), Arzhanov (59')
Marlos (76' pen.)
Kryvtsov (65'), Marlos (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dynamo Kiev13112032102235
2FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya1210202171432
3Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar1392237122529
4Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya1264220101022
5Karpaty LvivKarpaty146351617-121
6Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi125431311219
7LNZ CherkasyCherkasy145361520-518
8Vorskla PoltavaVorskla144461418-416
9Rukh Lviv12363169715
10Veres133641416-215
11Zorya LuhanskLuhansk135081317-415
12Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka14275811-313
13Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets14338917-812
14Livyi Bereh13238417-139
15Obolon KyivObolon13238626-209
16Inhulets14068929-206


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