Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23

Apr 7, 2024 at 11am UK

Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
3 - 2
Oleksandriya

Boychuk (10'), Fomin (18' pen.), Ermakov (44')
Bragaru (56'), Alvarenga (85'), Varakuta (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Shulianskyi (45+2'), Belyaev (52')
Campos (15')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and FC Oleksandriya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chornomorets Odesa

All competitions

Last Game: Polissya 1-4 Chornomorets
Saturday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

FC Oleksandriya

All competitions

Last Game: Minai 2-2 Oleksandriya
Sunday, March 31 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 42.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	FC Oleksandriya
28% ( 0.36)	29.26% ( 0.22)	42.74% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 42.27% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.92% (

-0.52)

64.08% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.75% (

-0.38)

83.24% (

0.38)

Chornomorets Odesa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.2% (

0.01)

39.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.53% (

0.01)

76.47% (

-0.01)

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.58)

29.78% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-0.71)

65.85% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Chornomorets Odesa 27.99%

FC Oleksandriya 42.73%

Draw 29.25%

Chornomorets Odesa	Draw	FC Oleksandriya
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.99%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 14.35% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.73%