Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.