Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18

Feb 26, 2024 at 11am UK

Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
1 - 0
Vorskla

Basic (37')
Antyukh (22'), Churko (29'), Guerrero (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Myakushko (17'), Sissoko (39'), Kane (43'), Kovtalyuk (47'), Krupskyi (63'), Rodrigues (90+4')
Krupskyi (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions

Ukrainian Premier League

Last Game: Luhansk 4-0 Breidablik
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions

Last Game: Vorskla 1-1 Rukh Lviv
Sunday, December 10 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
41.37% ( -0.19)	25.68% ( 0.06)	32.95% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.69% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

-0.22)

49.32% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

-0.2)

71.37% (

0.2)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.36% (

-0.19)

23.64% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.27% (

-0.27)

57.73% (

0.28)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

-0.02)

28.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.03)

64.13% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 41.37%

Vorskla Poltava 32.95%

Draw 25.68%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.37%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.95%