MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:08:12| >> :600:538834:538834:
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
4 - 0
Breidablik

Guerrero (2'), Muminovic (11' og.), Micin (19'), Horbach (76')
Bol (7'), Batagov (17'), Antyukh (52'), Churko (65'), Jordan (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Orn Margeirsson (65'), Kristinsson (74'), Muminovic (76')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zorya Luhansk and Breidablik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-2 Luhansk
Saturday, December 9 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Breidablik 1-2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, November 30 at 1pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawBreidablik
51.38% (0.1 0.1) 20.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.69% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 68.73% (-0.191 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.36% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)29.63% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.25% (-0.242 -0.24)50.74% (0.237 0.24)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)12.05% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)37.56% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)21.85% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.275 -0.27)55.08% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 51.38%
    Breidablik 27.69%
    Draw 20.93%
Zorya LuhanskDrawBreidablik
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.35%
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.63% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 6.45% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.69%

How you voted: Luhansk vs Breidablik

Zorya Luhansk
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Breidablik
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Breidablik
0-1
Luhansk
Horbach (35')
Snurnitsyn (65'), Myshnyov (65'), Vantukh (89'), Jordan (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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