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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Bala Town logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 4
Bala Town

Evans (85' pen.)
Rimmer (75'), Bradford (88'), Evans (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (22'), Peate (57'), Rimmer (68' og.), Edwards (76' pen.)
Ramsey (71'), Peate (84')
Venables (2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-2 New Saints
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-0 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
20.48% (-5.758 -5.76) 22.94% (-1.658 -1.66) 56.58% (7.415 7.42)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-1.592 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.14% (1.222 1.22)46.86% (-1.225 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.89% (1.131 1.13)69.11% (-1.134 -1.13)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.94% (-4.52 -4.52)37.06% (4.519 4.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-4.774 -4.77)73.84% (4.774 4.77)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (3.245 3.25)16.35% (-3.247 -3.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.04% (5.577 5.58)45.96% (-5.579 -5.58)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 20.48%
    Bala Town 56.58%
    Draw 22.94%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 6.01% (-1.145 -1.15)
2-1 @ 5.41% (-1.144 -1.14)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-1.034 -1.03)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.663 -0.66)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.378 -0.38)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.516 -0.52)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.77 -0.77)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.317 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.443 -0.44)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.58 0.58)
0-2 @ 9.94% (1.467 1.47)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.355 0.36)
0-3 @ 6% (1.396 1.4)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.788 0.79)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.055 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.84 0.84)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.59 0.59)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.156 0.16)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.372 0.37)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 56.58%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Bala Town
2-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (59'), Peate (69')
Smith (65'), Kay (85'), Shannon (90')
Jones (86'), Veale (90+4')
Thorn (72')
Aug 31, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Bala Town

Veale (57'), Phillips (67')
Darlington (27' og.)
Smith (34')
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Bala Town
Davies (10')
Jones (16'), Williams (87')
Roberts (14' pen.), Nalatche Mendes (30')
Stephens (79'), Morris (90')
Oct 10, 2020 5.15pm
Bala Town
5-2
Aberystwyth
Evans (39'), Smith (44'), Venables (57' pen., 60'), Correia (82')
Stephens (67'), Peate (76')
Williams (24'), Hewitt (68' pen.)
(67')
Nov 8, 2019 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-5
Bala Town

Jones (17')
Jones (28'), Robles (44', 78'), Venables (71', 82')
rhs 2.0
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