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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside College Stadium
Bala Town logo

Connah's Quay
1 - 0
Bala Town

Stratulis (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kay (61'), Southern (83')
Kay (70'), Southern (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Bala Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

Last Six:
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Bala Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
42.06% (-0.143 -0.14) 28.14% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.8% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2% (0.097999999999999 0.1)59.8% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.08% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)28.07% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)63.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.17400000000001 0.17)35.98% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.177 0.18)72.76% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 42.05%
    Bala Town 29.8%
    Draw 28.14%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBala Town
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-0
Connah's Quay
Ebbe (45+2'), Shannon (90+5')
Nov 5, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Ramsey (45'), (63'), Shannon (65')
Venables (62'), Smith (75')
Morris (3' pen., 59'), Curran (24'), Harrington (49')
Eardley (11')
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-1
Bala Town

Moore (82'), Edwards (90+4')
Horan (27')
Edwards (29')
Apr 28, 2021 7.45pm
Bala Town
2-1
Connah's Quay
Horan (18' og.), Jones (72')
Shannon (32'), Smith (54'), Ramsey (78'), Kay (88'), Smith (90+3')
Peate (78')
Morris (80' pen.)
Poole (75')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Bala Town
Poole (86'), Horan (89')
Hunt (11'), Disney (56'), Morris (68'), Edwards (73')

Correia (27'), (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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