Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Latham Park
Newtown1 - 1Aberystwyth
Mitchell (86')
O'Neill (39'), Mitchell (68'), Mills-Evans (83')
O'Neill (39'), Mitchell (68'), Mills-Evans (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
J (35')
Thorn (59'), Roberts (84')
Thorn (59'), Roberts (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 43.05% | 25.09% | 31.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
