MX23RW : Friday, November 8 11:34:28| >> :600:1989021:1989021:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
3 - 1
Zurich

Nobbs (38'), Hurtig (45+1', 78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piubel (76')
Bernauer (36'), Riesen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Zurich Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zurich 0-2 Juventus
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Zurich Women

After thrashing the European champions last week, we think that Arsenal will cruise to a sixth consecutive victory when they face Zurich on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
50.18% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)47.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.058 -0.06)69.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Zurich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.82% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.112 -0.11)69.39% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 50.17%
    Zurich Women 25.5%
    Draw 24.32%
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.5%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Zurich

Arsenal Women
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Zurich Women
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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