MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 11:15:31| >> :600:575186:575186:
Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal Women
3 - 1
Zurich

Nobbs (38'), Hurtig (45+1', 78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piubel (76')
Bernauer (36'), Riesen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Zurich Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zurich 0-2 Juventus
Wednesday, October 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Arsenal Women 3-0 Zurich Women

After thrashing the European champions last week, we think that Arsenal will cruise to a sixth consecutive victory when they face Zurich on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Zurich Women had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Zurich Women win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
50.18% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.5% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)47.5% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.058 -0.06)69.71% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.49% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Zurich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.82% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (-0.112 -0.11)69.39% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 50.17%
    Zurich Women 25.5%
    Draw 24.32%
Arsenal WomenDrawZurich Women
1-0 @ 10.34% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 50.17%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.5%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Zurich

Arsenal Women
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Zurich Women
0.0%
8
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool76011321118
2Manchester CityMan City7520178917
3Arsenal7520156917
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle733187112
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8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brentford73131313010
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
11Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
13Bournemouth7223810-28
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
15Leicester CityLeicester7133912-36
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