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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea Women
1 - 1
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Ajax Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Ajax Women

Chelsea know that they do not have to win Wednesday's second leg to progress, but with Ajax needing to take risks, we think that the Blues will exploit any space left in behind to claim a victory and ease through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
46.32% (0.671 0.67) 22.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 30.99% (-0.647 -0.65)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)36.2% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (-0.227 -0.23)58.31% (0.226 0.23)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (0.169 0.17)16.1% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.49% (0.307 0.31)45.51% (-0.307 -0.31)
Ajax Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)23.19% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.91% (-0.698 -0.7)57.09% (0.69900000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 46.32%
    Ajax Women 30.99%
    Draw 22.69%
Chelsea WomenDrawAjax Women
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 46.32%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Ajax

Chelsea Women
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
Ajax Women
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2024 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Ajax
0-3
Chelsea Women

Yohannes (14')
James (19'), Nusken (44', 83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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