Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax0 - 3Chelsea Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Arsenal Women
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
48
We said: Ajax Women 2-2 Chelsea Women
Chelsea may be a stronger squad than their hosts on paper, but we think that the Blues will have to be contend with a first-leg draw against an Ajax side that enjoyed significant success in their three home group matches earlier this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Ajax Women had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Ajax Women win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
31.28% ( 0.02) | 24.96% | 43.77% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
