Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 79.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 7.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
