MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:33:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Brighton


Green (16'), Gejl (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vilamala Costa (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Crystal Palace Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace Women

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Brighton & Hove Albion Women

All competitions
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Crystal Palace Women 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

 Palace would have taken confidence from their win over Leicester, but they will face a tougher test against a Brighton side that has high expectations for this season. The Seagulls have showcased their cutting edge in front of goal, and we think that they will produce another strong attacking display to take three points from Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
44.15% (0.896 0.9) 23.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 32.2% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.343 -0.34)40.31% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.354 -0.35)62.69% (0.352 0.35)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.23399999999999 0.23)18.57% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (0.39599999999999 0.4)49.84% (-0.398 -0.4)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.691 -0.69)24.48% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.979 -0.98)58.93% (0.977 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Women 44.15%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 32.2%
    Draw 23.65%
Crystal Palace WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.2%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace Women
30.0%
Draw
0.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women
70.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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