We said: Everton Ladies 2-1 Bristol City Women
Although Everton have lost all four of their home league games this term, three of those matches took place against teams that finished in the top four last season.
With the Toffees now set to play host to a newly-promoted Bristol City side, we think that they will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City Women win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Everton Ladies win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.