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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 22, 2023 at 1pm UK
Goodison Park

Everton Ladies
0 - 5
Man Utd Women


Bjorn (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malard (14'), Parris (58', 90+3'), Deman (77', 85')
Riviere (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Everton Ladies and Manchester United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Everton Ladies
Sunday, October 15 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Man Utd Women
Wednesday, October 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Everton Ladies 1-2 Manchester United Women

Despite falling to defeat in the French capital on Wednesday, we think that Man United have the extra quality required to claim all three points in Sunday's away meeting with Everton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result
Everton LadiesDrawManchester United Women
16.1% (-0.052 -0.05) 19.89% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 64% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.165 -0.16)40.33% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (-0.169 -0.17)62.7% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87% (-0.165 -0.16)38.13% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1% (-0.158 -0.16)74.89% (0.155 0.16)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)11.93% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)37.3% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Everton Ladies 16.1%
    Manchester United Women 64%
    Draw 19.89%
Everton LadiesDrawManchester United Women
2-1 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.1%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.89%
0-2 @ 10.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 7.29% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 64%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 12pm
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Everton Ladies
0-3
Man Utd Women
Parris (13'), Galton (55'), Ladd (68')
Mar 27, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Man Utd Women
3-1
Everton Ladies
Russo (35', 84'), Zelem (54' pen.)
Thorisdottir (14')
Emslie (4')
George (49')
Nov 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Everton Ladies
1-1
Man Utd Women
Magill (76')
Sevecke (59')
Toone (10')
Zelem (60')
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Man Utd Women
2-0
Everton Ladies
Toone (6'), Hanson (89')

Sevecke (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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