Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.