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Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 8, 2022 at 12pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 1
B'ham Women


Asante (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarri (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Birmingham City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Birmingham City Women

Although they lost heavily in midweek, Birmingham have shown signs of promise in their three games prior to the Man City defeat, and we think Blues will do enough to hold their local rivals to a draw on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 57.35%. A win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Birmingham City Women win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawBirmingham City Women
57.35%21.15%21.5%
Both teams to score 60.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.61%37.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.39%59.61%
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09%12.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.67%39.33%
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31%30.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.93%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 57.35%
    Birmingham City Women 21.5%
    Draw 21.15%
Aston Villa WomenDrawBirmingham City Women
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 6.69%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.43%
4-0 @ 2.9%
4-2 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.66%
0-1 @ 4.68%
0-2 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 21.5%

Head to Head
Nov 14, 2021 2pm
B'ham Women
0-1
Aston Villa

Sarri (75'), Robertson (90+1')
Asante (25')
Arthur (22'), Lehmann (55'), Pacheco (90+3')
Apr 28, 2021 7pm
B'ham Women
1-1
Aston Villa
Gregory (28'), Sarri (90+6')
Kelly (33'), Mayling (40'), Hutton (42'), Silva (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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