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Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Feb 18, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester Women
5 - 2
Bristol Women

Momiki (33'), Takarada (45+1'), Cayman (54'), Rantala (76'), Draper (89')
Rantala (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morgan (20'), Thestrup (49')
Powell (24'), Napier (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Bristol City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Bristol Women
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 2-2 Bristol City Women

 Bristol City may have found wins hard to come by this season, but they have seen three of their last four away league games finish all square, and we think they could play out another draw in Sunday's away clash with Leicester. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester Women win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawBristol City Women
53.63% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.36% (-0.101 -0.1) 25.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 64.3% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.73% (0.59099999999999 0.59)34.27% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.83% (0.665 0.66)56.17% (-0.666 -0.67)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.02% (0.203 0.2)12.98% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.53% (0.41200000000001 0.41)39.47% (-0.413 -0.41)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (0.39 0.39)26.11% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (0.521 0.52)61.17% (-0.521 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 53.63%
    Bristol City Women 25.01%
    Draw 21.36%
Leicester WomenDrawBristol City Women
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.34% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.025 0.03)
5-0 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.01%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol Women
2-4
Leicester Women
Jones (33'), Gronbak Thestrup (85' pen.)
Jones (90')
Palmer (45+2'), Rantala (49', 83'), Petermann (52')
Cain (78'), Green (90')
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