Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.