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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 2, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
4 - 1
Bayern Munich

Kirby (11', 90+5'), So-yun (43'), Mosegaard-Harder (84')
Carter (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zadrazil (29')
Magull (42'), Simon (74'), Beerensteyn (83')

The Match

Match Report

Emma Hayes' side will play Barcelona in Gothenburg in two weeks' time.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.65%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
41.32%21.43%37.24%
Both teams to score 71.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.21%27.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.52%48.48%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39%14.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3%42.7%
Bayern Munich Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82%16.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34%45.65%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 41.32%
    Bayern Munich Women 37.24%
    Draw 21.44%
Chelsea WomenDrawBayern Munich Women
2-1 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-2 @ 4.65%
1-0 @ 4.55%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-3 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 7.25%
3-3 @ 2.82%
0-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 4.4%
0-1 @ 4.3%
0-2 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 2.01%
3-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 37.24%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 4pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Bayern Munich
2-1
Chelsea Women
Lohmann (12'), Glas (56')
Zadrazil (22')
Leupolz (23')
Mosegaard-Harder (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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