World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Eq Guinea1 - 0Mauritania
Salvador (59')
Miranda (17')
Miranda (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Mauritania |
| 42.03% | 26.21% | 31.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
