Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
