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Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2020 at 11.45pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Uruguay
2 - 1
Chile

Suarez (39' pen.), Gomez (90+3')
Coates (55'), Bentancur (59'), Gomez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sanchez (54')
Sierralta (75'), Baeza (90+1')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Uruguay and Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Chile had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawChile
40.55%26.94%32.51%
Both teams to score 50.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39%54.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05%75.95%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55%26.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38%61.62%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.67%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 40.55%
    Chile 32.51%
    Draw 26.93%
UruguayDrawChile
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.51%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2019 12am
Group Stage
Chile
0-1
Uruguay
Cavani (82')
Gonzalez (70')
Jun 25, 2015 12.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chile
1-0
Uruguay
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool16123137162139
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4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
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7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
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