MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:31:23| >> :60:874:874:
Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Playoffs
Aug 22, 2023 at 6.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 2
Shabab Al-Ahli

Talisca (11', 90+5'), Al-Ghanam (88'), Brozovic (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alghassani (18', 46')
Abdalla (45+2'), Alghassani (56'), Naser (74'), Suleiman Salem (90+2')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Playoffs clash between Al-Nassr and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Nassr 0-2 Al-Taawoun
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Shabab Al-Ahli 3-0 Al Wihdat
Tuesday, August 15 at 4.35pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-NassrDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
41.75% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 24.64% (0.012 0.01) 33.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.073 -0.07)44.47% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (-0.07 -0.07)66.84% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)25.63% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.101 -0.1)60.53% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 41.75%
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 33.61%
    Draw 24.63%
Al-NassrDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 41.75%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Shabab Al-Ahli

Al-Nassr
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
6.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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