MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:35:25| >> :60:103:103:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Surkhon

Navbahor
0 - 0
Al Ittihad


Khamrobekov (11'), Babayan (31'), Nikabadze (79')
FT

Al-Sagour (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's AFC Champions League clash between Navbahor and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Navbahor

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mumbai City 1-2 Navbahor
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al Ittihad

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Tai 0-3 Al Ittihad
Wednesday, February 7 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Navbahor 0-2 Al Ittihad

 Given the popularity of the Saudi Pro League in Uzbekistan, home field might not be a big advantage for Navbahor in this encounter. Neither side are in great form at the moment, but Al Ittihad have at least played their share of meaningful games lately, while Thursday will mark nearly a month since their opponents will have played, which should give the Saudis an edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Navbahor had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Navbahor win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
NavbahorDrawAl Ittihad
26.93% (0.21 0.21) 25.99% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 47.08% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.137 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (0.1 0.1)53.25% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (0.084 0.08)74.8% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Navbahor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (0.226 0.23)34.73% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (0.238 0.24)71.46% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)22.61% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)56.22% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Navbahor 26.93%
    Al Ittihad 47.08%
    Draw 25.98%
NavbahorDrawAl Ittihad
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.3% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.55% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 26.93%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 11.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.08%

How you voted: Navbahor vs Al Ittihad

Navbahor
6.7%
Draw
20.0%
Al Ittihad
73.3%
15
rhs 2.0
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