MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:25:38| >> :60:5:5:
AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Rezaeian (37')
Karimi (29'), Rezaeian (86')
Daneshgar (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malcom (57'), Mitrovic (90+4'), Alhamddan (90+7')
Malcom (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's AFC Champions League clash between Sepahan and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepahan

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Sepahan
Monday, December 4 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Al-Hilal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Sepahan 0-4 Al-Hilal

 Even without Neymar, Al-Hilal have plenty of dependable attacking options, and we do not believe the Iranians will be able to contain a side that have blown away most of their opponents throughout the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
SepahanDrawAl-Hilal
15.49% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 19.41% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 65.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73% (-0.114 -0.11)39.27% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (-0.12 -0.12)61.6% (0.116 0.12)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)11.33% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.01% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)35.99% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sepahan 15.49%
    Al-Hilal 65.1%
    Draw 19.41%
SepahanDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.41%
0-2 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.06% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.1%

How you voted: Sepahan vs Al-Hilal

Sepahan
0.0%
Draw
3.6%
Al-Hilal
96.4%
28
rhs 2.0
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