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Asian Cup
Bahrain national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium
Malaysia national football team

Bahrain
1 - 0
Malaysia

Madan (90+5')
Al Aswad (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kutty Abba (19'), Saad (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Asian Cup clash between Bahrain and Malaysia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahrain

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: South Korea 3-1 Bahrain
Monday, January 15 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Malaysia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Malaysia 0-4 Jordan
Monday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Bahrain 2-0 Malaysia

 Malaysia look vulnerable on the back end and could be understandably fragile following what transpired in their opening fixture, and that is something we think will work to the advantage of Bahrain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Malaysia had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest Malaysia win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bahrain.

Result
BahrainDrawMalaysia
44.2% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 27.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.38% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.43% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)26.53% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.038000000000004 0.04)61.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)36.86% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)73.65% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 44.19%
    Malaysia 28.1%
    Draw 27.7%
BahrainDrawMalaysia
1-0 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 28.1%

How you voted: Bahrain vs Malaysia

Bahrain
55.9%
Draw
5.9%
Malaysia
38.2%
34
Head to Head
May 28, 2021 5.30pm
Friendlies 3
Bahrain
2-0
Malaysia
Abd Al Jabar (41' pen.), Jasim Marhoon (61')
(37')

(40'), (63')
rhs 2.0
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