Estonia

4 - 1

Faroe Islands

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.