Although Mainz put in a hugely impressive performance to defeat the champions last weekend, on their travels they are a completely different outfit to face.
In fact, the visitors have the second-worst away record in the division, and with the home side in fine form during their revival at the bottom, we can see Hertha nicking the all important win to confirm their survival.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin has a probability of 33.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline is Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mainz 05 with a probability of 11.36% and the second most likely scoreline is Hertha Berlin 1-2 Mainz 05 with a probability of 8.94%.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mainz 05 in this match.
