CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Mbabane Swallows0 - 4Mamelodi Sundowns
Thwala (17'), Manyisa (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ribeiro Costa (3' pen., 54'), Lebusa (17'), Rayners (39')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Mbabane Swallows and Mamelodi Sundowns.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ferroviario Beira 0-0 Mbabane Swallows
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in CAF Champions League
Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Tuesday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 92.66%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Mbabane Swallows had a probability of 1.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 0-3 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.29%) and 0-4 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Mbabane Swallows win it was 1-0 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mamelodi Sundowns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mbabane Swallows | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
| 1.44% | 5.89% | 92.66% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 25.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
