MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:54:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Leeds logo

Rotherham
1 - 1
Leeds

Odofin (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
26.85% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 23.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 49.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 57.58% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)43.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)29.87% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.96% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)48.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 26.85%
    Leeds United 49.4%
    Draw 23.75%
Rotherham UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.4%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Leeds

Rotherham United
7.4%
Draw
11.8%
Leeds United
80.9%
68
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Ajayi (28')
Robertson (79')
Klich (51', 86')
Casilla (90'), Phillips (90')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
2-0
Rotherham
Ayling (49'), Roofe (72')

Taylor (16')
Jan 2, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-0
Rotherham
Bartley (47'), Wood (66', 79')
Jansson (57')

Mattock (53')
Nov 26, 2016 5.30pm
Rotherham
1-2
Leeds
Wood (87')
Odemwingie (29')
Wood (14'), Doukara (45')
O'Kane (54'), Green (93')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Rotherham
2-1
Leeds
Frecklington (27'), Halford (90' pen.)
Best (44')
Derbyshire (61')
Murphy (79')
Bridcutt (57'), Bellusci (68')
Silvestri (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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