Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
We said: Stoke City 2-2 Bristol City
With both teams having their Championship statuses confirmed for next season, we could see a free-flowing contest at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday.
Stoke and Bristol City are both enjoying a fruitful run of form, and we reckon that the pair will play out an entertaining four-goal thriller to draw the curtain on their campaigns.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14% . A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%) . The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result Stoke City Draw Bristol City 41.14% ( -1.49) 27.22% ( 0.59) 31.64% ( 0.9)
Both teams to score 49.42% ( -1.43)
44.11% ( -1.99) 55.88% ( 1.98)
23% ( -1.65) 76.99% ( 1.64)
73.27% ( -1.7) 26.72% ( 1.69)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.01% ( -2.29) 61.99% ( 2.28)
67.44% ( -0.39) 32.55% ( 0.38)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.9% ( -0.44) 69.09% ( 0.43)
Stoke City 41.14%
Bristol City 31.64%
Draw 27.21%
Stoke City Draw Bristol City 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.14% 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.64%
How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City
Stoke City
Draw
Bristol City
24
rhs 2.0
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