Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Aviles win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arenteiro had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Aviles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Arenteiro win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.