Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Olimpia 1-2 Flamengo
Flamengo dominated Olimpia when the two teams met for the first leg and that psychological advantage could prove to be crucial when it comes to this match on Friday.
Considering the fact that the visitors have a lead to protect they are already in a more comfortable position, and while Olimpia will ask questions it should be the defending champions that progress.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 38.29% . A win for Olimpia had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.35%) . The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-0 (8.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood .
Result Olimpia Draw Flamengo 35.93% ( 1.53) 25.79% ( 0.32) 38.29% ( -1.85)
Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.86)
50.73% ( -1.2) 49.27% ( 1.2)
28.68% ( -1.1) 71.32% ( 1.1)
73.45% ( 0.33) 26.55% ( -0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.25% ( 0.44) 61.75% ( -0.44)
74.78% ( -1.51) 25.22% ( 1.51)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.04% ( -2.13) 59.96% ( 2.13)
Olimpia 35.93%
Flamengo 38.29%
Draw 25.78%
Olimpia Draw Flamengo 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.93% 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.29%
How you voted: Olimpia vs Flamengo
11
rhs 2.0
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