MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 19:01:26| >> :600:763505:763505:
Notts County
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 0
Leicester U21s

Scott (31')
Nyirenda (24'), McDonald (70'), D (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wormleighton (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Notts County and Leicester City Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Leicester City Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 4-1 Leicester City Under-21s

 Due to the physical disparity between Leicester's youth side and Notts County's full-time pros, the League Two team should pull away from their visitors and stroll to a straightforward victory - whether that is enough to go through will depend on events in Northampton. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 63.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 18.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
63.73% (0.044999999999995 0.04) 18.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 18.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 65.14% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.39% (0.184 0.18)28.61% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.5% (0.225 0.23)49.49% (-0.223 -0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.35% (0.060000000000002 0.06)8.65% (-0.0589 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.18% (0.148 0.15)29.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (0.111 0.11)28.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (0.137 0.14)64.52% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 63.73%
    Leicester City Under-21s 18.01%
    Draw 18.25%
Notts CountyDrawLeicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.89% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.012 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 63.73%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 18.25%
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 18.01%

How you voted: Notts County vs Leicester U21s

Notts County
86.5%
Draw
0.0%
Leicester City Under-21s
13.5%
37
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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