MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:48:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | 2nd Leg
May 29, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Vitesse

AZ
6 - 1
Vitesse

Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), de Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

Last Six:
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Vitesse

Last Six:
Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Vitesse

 The onus is firmly on AZ to take control of proceedings as they seek to overhaul a first-leg deficit, and while we expect an open and end-to-end affair, we are also backing the hosts to carry the day and book their place in the Conference League playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
58.26% (1.375 1.38) 22.17% (-0.401 -0.4) 19.57% (-0.965 -0.97)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.252 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (0.433 0.43)44.77% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (0.415 0.41)67.13% (-0.408 -0.41)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.60600000000001 0.61)15.07% (-0.6 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.42% (1.128 1.13)43.58% (-1.12 -1.12)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.751 -0.75)36.8% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.757 -0.76)73.59% (0.76400000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 58.25%
    Vitesse 19.57%
    Draw 22.17%
AZ AlkmaarDrawVitesse
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.147 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.187 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.129 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.092 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.25%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.17%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 19.57%

How you voted: AZ vs Vitesse

AZ Alkmaar
80.4%
Draw
7.8%
Vitesse
11.8%
51
Head to Head
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
Vitesse
0-0
AZ

Bazoer (26')

Karlsson (62')
Mar 7, 2021 3.45pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')
Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')
Dec 23, 2020 3.30pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Karlsson (5'), Boadu (40'), Druijf (75')
Openda (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184
> Eredivisie Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!