MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:03:50| >> :600:444443:444443:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Pafos

Kouame (38'), Goldar (53' og.), Martinez (72')
Parisi (60'), Bruno (74'), Rubino (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jairo (68'), Diego Alves de Brito (87')
Sunjic (43'), Pepe (60'), Correia (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Como 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Pafos FC

All competitions
Last Game: Pafos 1-0 Astana
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Pafos FC

 Having slipped up against one Cypriot team, Fiorentina should now dispatch another, though it may not be a straightforward process. Given their performances this season, Pafos are on the rise, but the vibrant Viola are well-equipped to inflict a rare defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawPafos FC
60.58% (0.181 0.18) 21.21% (-0.067 -0.07) 18.21% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (0.098999999999997 0.1)42.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (0.101 0.1)64.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.083999999999989 0.08)13.6% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25% (0.17299999999999 0.17)40.74% (-0.182 -0.18)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)36.98% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.76% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 60.56%
    Pafos FC 18.21%
    Draw 21.21%
FiorentinaDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96%
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.62% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 60.56%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 5% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.21%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Pafos

Fiorentina
91.5%
Draw
4.7%
Pafos FC
3.8%
106
rhs 2.0
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