Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uerdingen win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for SC St Tonis had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uerdingen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest SC St Tonis win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uerdingen would win this match.