CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 13, 2023 at 3.36am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Jamaica0 - 3Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
We said: Jamaica 1-1 Mexico (Jamaica advances on penalties).
By now, both of these veteran sides know what it is like to play in these high stakes encounters, and we expect a close match between two well-balanced teams on Wednesday. We believe the Jamaicans might have a slight edge regarding consistency and goalkeeping, and the latter will come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Jamaica win it was 1-0 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
| 26.52% | 27.19% | 46.29% |
| Both teams to score 46.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.03% | 57.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.34% | 78.66% |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% | 37.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.58% | 74.41% |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% | 25.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.29% | 59.7% |
| Score Analysis |
Jamaica 26.52%
Mexico 46.28%
Draw 27.19%
| Jamaica | Draw | Mexico |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.68% Total : 26.52% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.42% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 13.04% 0-2 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-3 @ 4.17% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.28% |
How you voted: Winner Quarter-final 1 vs Winner Quarter-final 4
Winner Quarter-final 1
45.7%Draw
25.7%Winner Quarter-final 4
28.6%35
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 1am
League A
Mexico
2-2
Jamaica
Jun 15, 2022 1am
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Sep 3, 2021 3am
