MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:30:56| >> :60:3461:3461:
Denmark national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parken
Sweden national football team

Denmark
2 - 1
Sweden

Hojbjerg (2'), Eriksen (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Isak (9')
Isak (38'), Cajuste (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Denmark and Sweden, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 25 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

We said: Denmark 2-1 Sweden

 Sweden's shoddy Euro 2024 qualifying performance says little about the individual quality of Tomasson's troops - especially in the final third - and the visitors can play with the handbrake off against their near neighbours. As such, Denmark's remarkable streak of clean sheets in friendly home games may cease to exist by the close of play on Wednesday, but Hjulmand's men should strike back themselves to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 10.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
DenmarkDrawSweden
74.64% (0.145 0.14) 15.34% (-0.084 -0.08) 10.02% (-0.057 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.35% (0.245 0.25)33.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.53% (0.276 0.28)55.47% (-0.272 -0.27)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.38% (0.088999999999999 0.09)7.63% (-0.085100000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.75% (0.22199999999999 0.22)27.25% (-0.218 -0.22)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (0.061 0.06)43.04% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (0.051000000000002 0.05)79.32% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Denmark 74.63%
    Sweden 10.02%
    Draw 15.34%
DenmarkDrawSweden
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 6% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.09% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 74.63%
1-1 @ 7.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.34%
1-2 @ 3% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.02%

How you voted: Denmark vs Sweden

Denmark
69.2%
Draw
19.6%
Sweden
11.2%
143
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2020 6.30pm
Friendlies 1
Denmark
2-0
Sweden
Wind (61'), Bah (74')
Maxso (67'), Abildgaard (70')

Svanberg (76'), Kulusevski (79')
Jun 7, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 1
Denmark
P-P
Sweden
Jun 2, 2018 6.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
0-0
Denmark
> Match Report
Nov 17, 2015 7.45pm
Playoffs
Denmark
2-2
Sweden
> Match Report
Nov 14, 2015 7.45pm
Playoffs
Sweden
2-1
Denmark
Forsberg (45'), Ibrahimovic (50' pen.)
Forsberg (47')
Jorgensen (80')
Agger (45')
> Match Report
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