Greece

2 - 0

New Zealand

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.