MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 17:10:19| >> :60:2224:2224:
South Korea national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 12pm UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Tunisia national football team

South Korea
4 - 0
Tunisia

Kang-in (55', 57'), Meriah (66' og.), Ui-jo (90+1')
Min-jae (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Achouri (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between South Korea and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: South Korea 1-0 Tunisia

 With both teams having recently put together an encouraging run of form, this could prove to be an entertaining encounter. However, we have to side with the hosts, who have looked particularly strong in defence in their latest matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South KoreaDrawTunisia
47.11% (0.254 0.25) 26.91% (-0.012 -0.01) 25.99% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)57.25% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)78.1% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.080000000000013 0.08)24.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.11199999999999 0.11)58.71% (-0.109 -0.11)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.258 -0.26)37.7% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (-0.254 -0.25)74.48% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 47.1%
    Tunisia 25.99%
    Draw 26.9%
South KoreaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.99%

How you voted: South Korea vs Tunisia

South Korea
68.4%
Draw
13.2%
Tunisia
18.4%
38
rhs 2.0
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