La Liga | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Girona
Girona's form in La Liga this season has been so strong that it is really difficult to back against them here, especially considering their record on the road and Celta's struggles at home. We are expecting a tight game in terms of the scoreline, but Girona should have enough quality to secure all three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.59% . A win for Girona had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.06%) . The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result Celta Vigo Draw Girona 37.59% ( 0.7) 25.41% ( -0.16) 36.99% ( -0.54)
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.55)
52.44% ( 0.7) 47.56% ( -0.7)
30.23% ( 0.65) 69.76% ( -0.65)
75.18% ( 0.71) 24.82% ( -0.71)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.6% ( 0.98) 59.4% ( -0.98)
74.85% ( 0.02) 25.14% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.14% ( 0.04) 59.85% ( -0.04)
Celta Vigo 37.59%
Girona 36.99%
Draw 25.41%
Celta Vigo Draw Girona 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.59% 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.99%
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Girona
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