Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 32.75% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).